Why Recency Bias Is Dangerous for Today’s Retirees

Most people assume the future will look like the recent past. That’s called recency bias, and it can quietly wreck a retirement plan.
If the market has been strong for years, investors start believing those returns will continue forever. If the market crashes, people assume things will only get worse.
But retirement planning isn’t about the last five years. It’s about the next thirty.
In this episode, I explain how recency bias influences investment decisions, why it can lead retirees to take the wrong risks at the wrong time, and how to build a retirement plan that works even when the future looks very different from the past.
Although this show does not provide specific tax, legal, or financial advice, you can engage Devin or John through their individual firms.
📍Contact Devin’s team at https://carrolladvisory.co/podcast1
📍Contact John’s team at https://www.rossandshoalmire.com/
If you’re thinking, "I love the Big Picture Retirement podcast!” please consider rating and reviewing this show! This helps us support more people -- just like you -- move toward a confident retirement. Just scroll down to the “ratings and reviews” section, tap to rate with five stars, and select “Write a Review.” Then be sure to let us know what you loved most about the episode!
Also, if you haven’t done so already, follow the podcast. We add new content every week, and if you’re not following, you’ll likely miss out. Follow now!
Don’t miss the Big Picture Retirement Planning Cheat Sheet. We've distilled the essential brackets, thresholds, and rules of retirement into an easy-to-digest, three-page summary. https://www.carrolladvisory.com/pl/2148282517
Want to ask Devin or John your question? Just visit https://www.bigpictureretirement.com/ and click on the “Ask A Question” menu selection.
If you’re thinking "I love the Big Picture Retirement podcast!” please consider rating and reviewing this show! This helps us support more people -- just like you -- move toward a confident retirement. Just scroll down to the “ratings and reviews” section, tap to rate with five stars, and select “Write a Review.” Then be sure to let us know what you loved most about the episode!
Also, if you haven’t done so already, follow the podcast. We’re adding new content every week, and if you’re not following, there’s a good chance you’ll miss out. Follow now!
Don’t miss the Big Picture Retirement Planning Cheat Sheet. We've distilled the essential brackets, thresholds, and rules of retirement into an easy-to-digest, three-page summary. https://www.carrolladvisory.com/pl/2148282517
Want to ask Devin or John your question? Just visit https://www.bigpictureretirement.com/ and look for the tab on the right side that says “Send A Voicemail.”
Although this show does not provide specific tax, legal, or financial advice, you can engage Devin or John through their individual firms.
Contact Devin’s team at https://www.carrolladvisory.com/
Contact John’s team at https://www.rossandshoalmire.com/
Want to ask a question? You can find us in our Facebook group. https://www.facebook.com/groups/bigpictureretirement









